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E.N.S.O.
(EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)

1st PART

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E.N.S.O.

DESCRIPTION

INDEX AND TECHNIQUES
FORECASTS OF ENSO

P.D.O.

DESCRIPTION

CONSEQUENCES



E.N.S.O.

DESCRIPTION

On our planet, the majority of the heat is stored in the oceans. They retain more easily the energy than continents and more than the atmosphere. So the ocean plays a role as important as atmosphere on the climate.

           
trade winds

Under normal conditions the thermocline is not flat. Its depth is about
50 meters to the east and 150 to 200 meters in the western Pacific. The waters
of Chile and Peru Seaboard are at a temperature of 64,4-68°F (18-20°C).

In the tropical Pacific, the irregular changes of sea surface temperature (S.S.T. : sea surface temperature) which occur, ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) cause local disturbances and have climatic effects. The two opposite phases of this phenomenon are : El Niño and La Niña. When there is no significant SST anomalies then it is named La NADA..

The sea surface temperature anomalies during
El Niño phenomenon (left) and La Niña (right).
Click here to see the comparison of four periods of E.N.S.O.

Evolution from La Niña to La Nada and to El Niño
Warm sea and Cooler sea

These climate changes are the most important after the season and particularly affecting Africa, Australia, South Asia and America.

Click here to see this larger schema which
summarizes the causes of these two phenomena

Scientists use the data from the TAO (Tropical Atmosphere Ocean) / TRITON studying climatic variations from year to year related to El Niño / La Niña and consists of 70 moored buoys spanning the equatorial Pacific between 8° North and 8° South. They measure the atmospheric conditions of the surface (wind, humidity, precipitation, radiative flux) and ocean surface conditions and subsurface down until to 500 m of depth (temperature, currents and salinity). All is organized by the United States, France, Japan, and Taiwan.

Their data confirmed the relationship between changes in the volume of hotter water than 20°C from 0 to 300 m of depth (WWV) and the phenomenon of the cycle of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Because it was also found that the magnitude of the SST anomalies of ENSO is directly related to the magnitude of the anomalies of the WWV zonal averages.


        NORMAL       EL NINO CLASSIC      LA NINA CLASSIC 

Click here to see the reconstitution of oceanic surface and subsurface features
from the TAO network and data of sea level from TOPEX / POSEIDON :
The red color represents the water temperature above 30°C, the blue
color represents waters with temperatures less than 8°C

If the WWV is compared to the anomaly of the equatorial Pacific SST, it is easy to see
that changes in WWV precede the ENSO events. Data source: NOAA

  • EL NIÑO

It was in 1920 that a British mathematician Gilbert Walker discovered that when the barometric pressure is higher than normal in the South Pacific, it tends to be lower than normal in the Indian Ocean, and the usual winds are appearing with abundant rain. This climatic phenomenon occurs every 2 to 7 years.

 

            

During the El Niño phenomenon the thermocline descends in Eastern
Pacific from 15 to 50 meters deeper and rises up to West. The trade winds
weaken and the waters of Chile and Peru Seaboard are at a temperature of
78,8-82,4°F (26 to 28°C). The number of hurricanes affecting Polynesia increases.

- CAUSE OF EL NINO

This phenomenon is relaed to the instability of the couple atmosphere-ocean. Two types of waves travel in the Pacific. Kelvin waves propagate eastward and Rossby waves westward. The slow movement of the ripples and the variation of atmospheric pressure could be one of the causes of El Niño and la Niña.

The lower the pressure near Indonesia and Australia, and the higher the pressure near Easter Island, then trade winds are stronger sweeping the tropical Pacific from the eastern Pacific ocean to the west. Warm sea surface water accumulated in the western Pacific by these winds push up the sea level of about 50 cm higher and thermocline level is lower near Indonesia than Ecuador.

But when the pressure increases much near Indonesia and Australia and then decreases near Easter Island (Chile), there is an anomaly of the west wind in the central Pacific and the trade winds weaken. Then the warm surface waters are driven towards the East. The surface layer becomes thinner upstream and downstream plunges. To the east, this increases in depth is balanced by Kelvin waves that propagate rapidly (3 m/s). After three months, when they arrive near the western coast, the waves prevent the upwelling of cold waters rich in fishes. The increasing in depth of the thermocline in the east directly affects sea surface temperature increasing. Then the air is warmed by the increase in the temperature of the ocean. In the Western Pacific ocean, the upwelling of the thermocline is spread in the form of Rossby waves.

 

Description of ENSO (El Niño and la Niña)
a Southern Oscillation in the Pacific.


The westerlies and trade winds converge on the area of warm waters
driving warm surface waters. By convention the air is heated
accentuating the anomaly. Different oceanic waves are created by
these anomalies which act differently on the thermocline depth.

 

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